Financial crises by numbers

[paul]

Here is the head of the National Australia Bank:

"Why do I know there will be another crisis? Because there was one in 1637, 1797, 1819, 1837, 1857, 1884, 1901,1907, 1929, 1937, 1974, 1987, 1997 and in 2008.” www.couriermail.com.au/news/national/economy-needs-to-be-match-fit-to-beat-financial-crashes-nab-boss-cameron-clyne/story-fndo1wyv-1226516157544

Notice 1637, 1837 and 1937.

What are the odds that picking 14 years at random would have 3 ending in 37?

What are the odds that picking 14 years at random would have 8 ending in 7?

There seems to be a numerical pattern to financial crises.

[paul]

One of the most famous texts on the cycles of financial markets is a novel: "Tunnel thru the Air or Looking back from 1940" www.amazon.com/Tunnel-Thru-Looking-Back-1940/dp/9650060154

The author W D Gann found numerical principles in the Old Testament that could be used to predict price movements in 2 dimensions: time and value. His novel is used as a basic text in teaching Gann Charts.

Here it is online: www.scribd.com/doc/7474438/GANN-WD-the-Tunnel-Thru-the-Air

He said that people need to read it 3 times to understand, each time on a deeper level.


There are youtube expositions e.g. www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcK2saOLX94

[LorrB]

That looks interesting. I followed some of the links and one of the youtubes show a concentric circle grid with the planets moving around the numbers up to 360, then a gap before the numbers resume, it looked quite exciting for some reason. I have tagged the book for reading later. Twelves and threes feature a lot in these sort of secrets. I was wondering about 3 x 12 being connected to the secret of the 72 names of God. I do hope i have enough brainpower to be able to follow up on all this.

[paul]

I was taught randomness as part of statistics.

Here is the Dow Jones stock index daily for 70 years





Is randomness used to cover up ignorant forecasts?